Dubai house prices will rise for the
first time in six years this year, supported by a swift vaccine roll out that
has lifted hopes for overall economic recovery, according to a Reuters poll of
property analysts.
The city’s real estate sector has
been weak for years due to oversupply coupled with low economic growth.
But on Monday Dubai eased Covid-19
restrictions and allowed hotels in the hub to operate at full capacity, raising
hopes for a region heavily dependent on tourism.
Seven of 10 real estate analysts who
responded to an additional question said an acceleration in Dubai housing
market activity this year was more likely. The remaining three forecast a
slowdown.
"We can already see improved
investor confidence and a boost in demand as prices have been on the lower side
for the last few years and supply has been significantly curtailed," said
Anuj Puri of Anarock Property Consultants.
"The vaccination drive here also
has been going well, and the economy has been gradually recovering amid
government measures to spur growth."
The May 11-19 Reuters poll of 10
analysts forecast Dubai house prices would rise 1.1 per cent this year and 2.8
per cent next, marking a complete U-turn in expectations from a January survey
when prices were forecast to decline 2.0 per cent in both years.
Eight of 10 property analysts said
the risks to those forecasts were skewed more to the upside.
Prime Dubai properties have been
snapped up in the past few months as buyers take advantage of low prices, easy
credit, and an economy open for business despite the Covid-19 pandemic.
Still, eight of 10 analysts who
responded to another question said a sharp turn in the economy or an increase
in demand was the biggest upside risks to housing market activity this year.
Dubai's economy was projected to grow
4.0 per cent this year after an estimated 6.2 per cent contraction last year,
according to Dubai Statistics Centre data.
Contributing about 8 per cent to
economic output, the real estate sector has shown an uptick recently, data from
Dubai Land Department showed.
"The real estate market has been
very buoyant since H2 2020 and continues to flourish. As more government
incentives come into fruition to stimulate the economy, this will have an
effect on the housing market," said Lynnette Abad Sacchetto, director of
Research & Data at Property Finder.
When asked what was the biggest
downside risk to housing market activity this year, five of 10 analysts said an
economic slowdown. The others said lack of demand or a lack of affordable
homes.
"The only potential risk I see
at the current period is that Covid-19 lingers longer than expected and further
affects economic growth and tourism to the emirates," said Simon Baker of
Haus and Haus.
Ahmed Shaikhani Group Managing
Director of Shaikhani Group says it will be another good step of UAE government
to allow the expatriates to stay in the country after they got retirement on a
condition of owning a property valued at about $545,000. This way customers and
companies become more align to their path and try to finish off their work
otherwise they know they will face a lot of problems. Thanks Dubai government
to keep everyone equal and updated
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